Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.015626 0.019449 0.024427 0.031587 0.041977 0.057144 0.082325
2025-01-26 0.011850 0.016324 0.023112 0.034920 0.056901 0.101465 0.220593
2025-02-02 0.009969 0.014668 0.022570 0.038389 0.074534 0.175106 0.664883
2025-02-09 0.008366 0.012839 0.020890 0.038665 0.086156 0.260885 2.031874
2025-02-16 0.007260 0.011518 0.019614 0.039030 0.098819 0.393124 10.347217
2025-02-23 0.006405 0.010435 0.018445 0.039040 0.111099 0.590872 332.728084
2025-03-02 0.005581 0.009245 0.016733 0.036880 0.113814 0.762189 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005002 0.008422 0.015616 0.035899 0.121028 1.078512 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004631 0.007949 0.015165 0.036695 0.138602 1.910479 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004285 0.007472 0.014596 0.036895 0.154432 3.466999 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003888 0.006836 0.013519 0.034982 0.155067 4.827539 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003579 0.006348 0.012726 0.033796 0.159978 7.752248 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003399 0.006155 0.012738 0.036010 0.201694 56.634508 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003285 0.006092 0.013101 0.040039 0.282889 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003173 0.006017 0.013412 0.044242 0.403927 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002971 0.005700 0.012953 0.044577 0.476143 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002796 0.005424 0.012553 0.045021 0.567279 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002632 0.005153 0.012114 0.045034 0.662395 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002435 0.004780 0.011289 0.042411 0.654283 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002285 0.004509 0.010745 0.041223 0.701394 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002188 0.004359 0.010564 0.042187 0.876613 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002087 0.004190 0.010290 0.042429 1.049127 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001956 0.003932 0.009676 0.040116 1.022672 NaN NaN